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The news and analysis archive

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The news and analysis archive
13
May

German ZEW Economic Sentiment, US Core CPI, BOE Gov Bai...

On Monday, the US dollar surged against major currencies, with the dollar index climbing 1.19% to reach a one-month peak. This strengthening coincided with the ongoing focus on US-...

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Nifty soared on IND-PAK real war and US-China trade war truce

Nifty soared on IND-PAK real war and US-China trade war...

·       India’s Dalal Street surged most in a single day in the last four years on local and global positive cues ·       China withdrew retaliatory reciprocal tariffs on each othe...

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12
May

In the week ahead: US Core CPI & PPI, U.S. Retail Sales...

The US dollar marked its third straight week of moderate gains, rebounding from levels last seen in March 2022 and trading just above the 100.00 mark. A key focus remained the US-C...

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9
May

FOMC Members Speak, BOE Gov Bailey Speaks, Canada Unemp...

The US dollar continued with a second day of gains climbing to monthly highs on Thursday, with the dollar index (USDX) adding 0.75% to its value crossing above the 100-point benchm...

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Wall Street is almost flat on Trump’s China tariff flip-flops

Wall Street is almost flat on Trump’s China tariff flip...

·       On Thursday, stocks surged as, contrary to earlier hawkish rhetoric, Trump offered lower tariffs if China opened up more for US goods & services ·       Trump gave the exam...

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8
May

BoE Interest Rate, U.S. Jobless New Claims, EIA Natural...

Following the Federal Reserve's recent decision to maintain interest rates at 4.5%, which initially introduced uncertainty and weighed on the US dollar, a moderate recovery was obs...

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Gold slips on a hawkish hold by Fed and US-China trade talks

Gold slips on a hawkish hold by Fed and US-China trade ...

·       Fed may be in wait & watch mode amid Trump tariff uncertainty (on & off) and may cut rates in July/September and December’25 (cumulative 50 bps) ·       Fed has to asses ac...

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7
May

FOMC Statement, FOMC Press Conference, Walt Disney Earn...

Extending its post-Friday weakness, the US dollar saw a further 0.53% drop in the dollar index (USDX) on the iFOREX platform on Tuesday. This decline precedes the formal commenceme...

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US stocks slid on Trump’s pharma and China tariffs narrative

US stocks slid on Trump’s pharma and China tariffs narr...

·       Trump is now under pressure from US Main Street as the US economy is now facing a huge supply shock; Trump is dying for a formal talk with China ·       But China is keepin...

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6
May

Eurozone Final Services PMI, U.S. Trade Balance, AMD Ea...

Following Friday's slight dip, the US dollar continued its downward trend on Monday, experiencing a modest 0.09% decline in the dollar index (USDX) on the iFOREX platform. This fre...

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EURUSD surged on Trumpcession and US hegemony; what’s next?

EURUSD surged on Trumpcession and US hegemony; what’s n...

·       Trump may sound less hawkish on China tariffs in the coming days as a lack of supply from China may result in acute supply shock for the US economy. ·       US-China formal...

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Who will win the war of attrition on trade between US-China?

Who will win the war of attrition on trade between US-C...

·       As Trump wants to change China’s internal system, including non-tariff barriers rather than only tariffs, it would be a long war of attrition between the US and China on tr...

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5
May

In the week ahead: ISM Services PMI, FOMC Statement, BO...

The US dollar traded moderately lower against most major currencies on friday, with the dollar index (USDX) registering small losses of approximately 0.18% on the iFOREX trading pl...

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Stocks surged on the progress of US-China formal trade talks

Stocks surged on the progress of US-China formal trade ...

·       Also better than expected US NFP job data for April boosted risk trade sentiment on fading concern of an all-out Trumpcession; Gold slips; USD gained ·       After hotter-t...

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2
May

Eurozone CPI, U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls, U.S. Unemployment...

The US dollar posted a third consecutive daily gain against most major currencies on Thursday, with the dollar index (USDX) registering small gains of approximately 0.55% on the iF...

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Mixed US GDP data indicate potential stagflation in late 2025

Mixed US GDP data indicate potential stagflation in lat...

·       The US economy is now facing an imminent supply shock, followed by a demand shock if Trump does not scale back his tariff policy uncertainty soon ·       Although US core r...

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30
Apr

Canada GDP, U.S. GDP, Core PCE Price Index, Pending Hom...

The US dollar experienced a small increase against most major currencies on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) registering small gains of approximately 0.31% on the iFOREX tradin...

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Dow recovered on Trump’s auto tariffs softening; Gold slips

Dow recovered on Trump’s auto tariffs softening; Gold s...

·       Trump partially rolled back his auto tariffs amid heavy pressure from US automakers after a chaotic first 100 days of the White House circus ·       India's Phase One trade...

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29
Apr

JOLTS Job Openings, CB Consumer Confidence, S&P/CS Hous...

The US dollar experienced a sharp decline against most major currencies on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) registering a loss of approximately 0.84% on the iFOREX trading plat...

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Nifty surged on RIL boost and an early US trade deal optimism

Nifty surged on RIL boost and an early US trade deal op...

·       But escalating India-Pakistan geopolitical tensions over the Pahelgam massacre may be a drag in the coming days ·       India may be among the first few countries to sign a...

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